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Yield Curve Signal: SOS or Smooth Sailing?

Embedded in the Treasury yield curve is a wealth of information about what the market expects for interest rates, inflation, and growth going forward. But just how accurate is the yield curve as a recession indicator? In this podcast, Portfolio Manager Jack McIntyre and Senior Vice President – Investment Specialist Katie Klingensmith decode the factors that influence its shape and what the curve might currently be signaling.

Press play below to listen to the full commentary.

Groupthink is bad, especially at investment management firms. Brandywine Global therefore takes special care to ensure our corporate culture and investment processes support the articulation of diverse viewpoints. This blog is no different. The opinions expressed by our bloggers may sometimes challenge active positioning within one or more of our strategies. Each blogger represents one market view amongst many expressed at Brandywine Global. Although individual opinions will differ, our investment process and macro outlook will remain driven by a team approach.